The U.S. is printing its August inflation figures at this time!
Will the numbers assist “peak inflation” speculations?
Extra importantly, will the discharge lengthen the S&P 500’s rally?
I don’t know if you happen to’ve observed however the S&P 500 U.S. inventory index has closed its FOURTH consecutive trading session within the inexperienced after bouncing from the three,900 assist.
And why not? As you possibly can see, 3,900 has been an space of curiosity since mid-Could. It additionally lined up with an ascending channel assist on the each day chart earlier this month.
Can the index lengthen its good points?
All eyes shall be on the U.S. CPI release later today at 12:30 pm GMT.
Phrase round is that we’ll see the primary decline within the headline CPI determine at the same time as core inflation seemingly sped up for an additional month.
Annualized inflation can be anticipated to gradual for a second consecutive month, this time from 8.5% to eight.1%.
Be careful for the 4,150 – 4,200 mid-channel zone that’s additionally been a significant inflection level for bulls and bears since late February 2022.
Weaker-than-expected figures would assist speculations that U.S. inflation has “peaked” and that the Fed gained’t be as hawkish in its subsequent coverage conferences.
S&P 500 may lengthen its each day rallies and hit the 200 SMA close to 4,280 or its August highs simply above 4,300.
In the meantime, upside surprises would give the Fed license to maintain tightening aggressively.
Take into account that greater rates of interest may choke company earnings and reduce client spending urge for food.
Sooner-than-expected inflation may weigh on U.S. equities and drag the inventory index again to the 4,000 psychological stage if not the channel assist close to 3,900.
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