The U.S. is printing the primary studying of its Q2 GDP!
How will USD pairs react? Will the discharge have an effect on EUR/USD’s short-term downtrend?
Earlier than transferring on, ICYMI, yesterday’s watchlist checked out a confluence of inflection points on GBP/AUD’s 1-hour chart. Remember to try if it’s nonetheless a sound play!
And now for the headlines that rocked the markets within the final trading sessions:
Contemporary Market Headlines & Financial Knowledge:
Inflation, protection plane purchases push U.S. core sturdy items 1.9% greater vs. 0.8% anticipated in June
U.S. pending house gross sales plunge by 8.6% in June as demand is weighed down by surging mortgage charges
EIA: U.S. crude stockpiles drop as exports surge to document excessive final week
As anticipated, Fed hikes charges by 75bps to 2.25%-2.5% vary, the very best since December 2018
Powell: The trail [to a soft landing] has clearly narrowed and should slender additional
Powell: One other “unusually massive” enhance in rates of interest could also be acceptable in September
Powell: It should probably change into acceptable to “gradual the tempo of will increase” whereas assessing influence of coverage changes
Powell: Time to go to a gathering by assembly foundation and never present clear steerage
Australia’s retail gross sales momentum slowed from 0.9% to 0.2% in June
U.S. advance GDP at 12:30 pm GMT
U.S. preliminary jobless claims at 12:30 pm GMT
U.S. Treasury Sec Yellen to present a speech in DC as we speak
Tokyo’s core CPI at 11:30 pm GMT
Japan’s unemployment charge at 11:30 pm GMT
Japan’s industrial manufacturing at 11:50 pm GMT
Japan’s retail gross sales at 11:50 pm GMT
AU quarterly PPI at 1:30 am GMT at 5:00 am GMT (Jul 29)
Japan’s shopper confidence at 5:00 am GMT (Jul 29)
Use our new Currency Heat Map to shortly see a visible overview of the foreign exchange market’s worth motion! 🔥 🗺️
Markets see Uncle Sam rising by 0.4% in Q2 after contracting by 1.6% in Q1 however some predict that the economic system will print its second destructive progress this week.
Two consecutive destructive progress quarters would put the U.S. economic system in a technical recession!
As you may see, EUR/USD is buying and selling on the high of a descending channel proper when the 100 SMA crossed under the 200 SMA on the 1-hour time-frame.
An upside shock would work in favor of those that have already noticed EUR/USD’s short-term downtrend. EUR/USD may drop under the SMAs and revisit the 1.0100 earlier support zone.
However what if as we speak’s numbers encourage risk-taking?
If the U.S. narrowly avoids a technical recession, then we may see extra of the risk-taking and anti-USD theme that we’ve been seeing this week.
EUR/USD may bust above its channel resistance and goal earlier areas of curiosity like 1.0270 or 1.0350.
Don’t even consider lacking as we speak’s launch!